Conditional Probability and Ambiguous Information (UMAP)

A unit that involves conditional probability and ambiguous information. The purpose of this module is to allow students to puzzle over some of the problems raised by the concept of conditional probability.

Table of Contents:

PREFACE

1. BRIEF REVIEW OF THE IDEA OF CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY AND BAYES' RULE
1.1 Basic Ideas

2. BAYES' RULE

3. EXAMPLE OF AMBIGUOUS INFORMATION

4. FURTHER READING

5. REFERENCES

6. ANSWERS TO EXERCISES